Invited-contributed sesion |
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11:30-12:20 |
Ana F. Militino |
(40 min + 10 min) |
Testing for spatio-temporal interaction in disease mapping |
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Abstract |
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Data on disease incidence or mortality over a set of contiguous regions have been commonly used to describe geographic patterns of a disease helping epidemiologists and public health researchers to identify possible etiologic factors. Nowadays, the availability of historical mortality registers offers the possibility of going further describing the spatio-temporal distribution of risks. The literature on spatio-temporal modelling of risks is very rich and it is mainly focused on the use of conditional autoregressive (CAR) models from a fully Bayesian perspective. However, the computational burden associated with the procedure makes the Empirical Bayes approach a plausible alternative. In this context, it is of interest to test for separability between space and time, as an absence of space-time interactions makes the model simpler. In this work, a score test is derived because it only requires to fit the simpler model. A bootstrap test is also considered for comparison purposes. Results will be illustrated using brain cancer data in Spain for the period 1996-2005.
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12:20-12:55 |
Durbán, M. and Lee, D.J. |
(25 min + 10 min) |
Reduced ANOVA smooth mixed models for modelling and testing space-time interactions |
12:55-13:30 |
Prieur, C., Antoniadis, A. and Viry, L. |
(25 min + 10 min) |
Spatio-temporal prediction forWest-African monsoon |
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Chair: Marian Scott |
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